Artificial Intelligence and South-America

Explore how artificial intelligence is shaping South America's geopolitics, economy, and technological strategies – an analysis for leaders.

SYSTEM

5/9/202512 min read

aerial photography of cityscape near sea
aerial photography of cityscape near sea

With the Help of ChatGPT

Introduction –
The Geopolitical Stakes of Artificial Intelligence in 2025


In the spring of 2025, artificial intelligence (AI) is not just a technological trend but one of the most defining factors of global power dynamics. AI-driven innovations are not only shaping economic performance but have become key elements in military, diplomatic, and digital sovereignty. In this new world order, South America, traditionally known as a hub for raw material exports and agricultural production, faces a new position and opportunity. The question is whether the continent’s countries will respond to these challenges with competitive AI strategies or remain merely technological consumers.

Global Context:
AI Arms Race, Digital Dominance, Technological Dependence


The main players in the AI competition are the United States and China. The U.S. leads the AI rankings in terms of research volume and patents, while China seeks global influence through aggressive investments and export-driven technological partnerships. The European Union, on the other hand, strives to play a defining role in regulatory and ethical guidelines, as seen with the EU AI Act.

In this competition between these superpowers, a new form of "digital colonization" has emerged: geopolitical pressure through platform services, data collection models, and exported AI software. Most South American countries are currently consumers, not creators, in this process. However, the situation is not static: political strategies, international alliances, and local innovation ecosystems could shape the continent's AI prospects.

Country-Specific Analyses –
AI Development, Geopolitical Directions, Strategic Outlook

1. Colombia


Colombia, located in the northwest of South America, is one of the largest and most dynamic economies in the region. AI development in Colombia is progressing rapidly, particularly in the fintech and healthcare sectors. In the 2025 AI development rankings, Colombia is positioned in the middle of the region but is actively promoting digital transformation. AI applications could help drive economic growth, especially in modernizing agriculture and the energy sector. While Colombia does not play a leading role in the global AI arms race, its close political and economic ties with the United States make it an active participant in international AI alliances. The country's biggest challenges are providing the necessary infrastructure and ensuring a workforce with digital skills to compete in the global market.

2.Venezuela


Venezuela, which has gone through a severe political and economic crisis in recent decades, is not yet a significant player in the global AI market. The country’s economic situation and technological infrastructure hinder the widespread application of AI. In the 2025 development rankings, Venezuela lags behind most of the region, and its biggest challenges lie in digitalization and education. While Venezuela's role in the global AI arms race is minimal, its relationships with Russia and China suggest that, in the future, AI-based developments will likely focus on the economy and military sectors. Technological dependency and political instability are key obstacles to progress.

3.Ecuador


Ecuador, located in the Andean region of South America, is one of the countries where AI adoption plays a crucial role in its economic future. In the 2025 AI development rankings, Ecuador is close to the front lines, particularly in precision farming and smart city development. Ecuador’s AI systems aim to increase productivity and introduce more sustainable farming solutions. While Ecuador is not a major player in the global AI arms race, its strategic position between the U.S. and China might allow it to play a balancing role in terms of influence from both powers. The country’s biggest challenge is developing its digital infrastructure and innovation environment.

4.Peru


Peru is also a rapidly developing economy in the region, and the application of AI is becoming increasingly important for the country. In the 2025 AI development rankings, Peru is in the middle range but has significant potential for AI in the industrial and agricultural sectors. The country’s economic growth is closely tied to adopting innovative technologies, particularly in mining and agriculture. Peru is aligned with the West in the technological rivalry between the U.S. and China, and while it does not actively participate in the global AI arms race, its biggest challenge lies in digital knowledge and workforce development to fully harness AI’s benefits.

5.Guyana


Guyana, which has an economy based primarily on oil and gas, seeks to apply AI mainly in its economic and industrial sectors. A key area for AI is in oil production and mining, where automation and precision technologies could increase productivity. The country’s AI development is still low, but economic growth and oil revenues could lead to progress in the coming decades. Guyana is not actively involved in the global AI arms race, but as both the U.S. and China are interested in the oil industry, the country’s geopolitical orientation will likely be a middle path between the two superpowers.

6.Suriname


Suriname is a small country rich in mining resources. AI development is still in its early stages, but its application in mining and agriculture will be crucial. Suriname's AI development is relatively low compared to other countries in the region, and its biggest challenge is building the infrastructure needed for technological growth. Although Suriname is not actively involved in the global AI arms race, its importance in international mining markets suggests that it will increasingly integrate into global AI trends in the future.

7.European Overseas Territories:
British, Dutch, and French Territories


The British, Dutch, and French overseas territories, such as the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, Aruba, Curacao, Sint Maarten, and French Guiana, maintain close ties with Europe, particularly with the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and France. Through this connection, they benefit from the latest AI developments and research, as they have direct access to the technological networks of developed countries and EU initiatives.

French Guiana, for instance, plays a special role as part of the European Union and France. As the site of the Kourou Space Center, it could see AI applications particularly in space research, environmental sustainability, and digital infrastructure development.

The British overseas territories, with their financial sector and digital infrastructure, can use AI for data analytics and risk management. The Dutch overseas territories, with their focus on sustainability and smart cities, can contribute to the development of environmental and transport systems.

Although these territories do not possess significant independent technological capacity, their connection with the EU and European countries ensures access to the latest developments. Military and economic alliances, such as NATO and other international coalitions, also provide opportunities for involvement in global AI developments, particularly in cybersecurity and drone technology.

8.Brazil


Brazil, the largest economy in South America, is also at the forefront of AI development in the region. The country has made significant advances in AI applications, particularly in agriculture, industry, and energy production. AI is used to enhance production efficiency and promote sustainable development. Brazil is an active player in the global AI arms race, with strong ties to the United States, China, and other technological powers. The biggest challenges for Brazil are maintaining political and economic stability while developing digital infrastructure and workforce training.

9.Bolivia


Bolivia's economy is heavily based on minerals and energy production, but AI applications are still in their early stages. Integrating AI into mining and agriculture could play a significant role in improving production efficiency. Bolivia ranks low in the global AI development rankings, but with economic growth and improvements in education, the situation could improve in the coming decades. Bolivia is not an active participant in the global AI arms race, and ensuring digital sovereignty will be key due to its technological dependency.

10.Chile


Chile is one of the most developed countries in South America and has made significant progress in applying AI, especially in industry and energy sectors. In the 2025 AI development rankings, Chile is at the forefront and aims to play a leadership role in sustainable technological solutions. Chile is actively involved in the global AI arms race, particularly through its economic relationships with the United States and China. The biggest challenge for Chile is reducing social inequalities and ensuring digital equity.

11.Paraguay


Paraguay's economy is mainly based on agriculture and energy production, and AI applications in agriculture and energy are expected to be successful. The country’s AI development is low, but with growing economic potential and cheap energy sources, it has opportunities for future development. The infrastructure needed for AI development is not yet fully in place, and challenges include workforce training and technological dependence. Paraguay is not actively involved in the global AI arms race, and in the future, ensuring digital sovereignty and reducing foreign technological influence will be key tasks.

12.Uruguay


Uruguay has the most developed digital infrastructure in South America. AI is already being applied in agriculture, the public sector, and the energy sector. The country aims to achieve sustainable development through AI and improve its economic competitiveness. Uruguay is actively working on participating in the global AI community, and future partnerships will be crucial. While AI offers opportunities for productivity increases, addressing social inequalities and ensuring data protection are significant challenges.

13.Argentina


Argentina is one of the leading players in South America when it comes to AI applications. The country has a strong research and development base, and AI is already widely used in industry, agriculture, and public services. Argentina ranks high in AI development and could become a key player in the region's economic and technological growth. The country’s focus is on strengthening its international competitiveness while addressing digital sovereignty and ethical norms.

Regional Outlook and Strategic Trends (2025–2050)

The central issue in South America's digital development is technological independence and digital sovereignty. Based on current trends, three dominant directions are emerging:

  1. Strengthening Regional Cooperation: Several countries have recognized that they can only have an impact on the global AI market collectively. The South American Digital Alliance (SADA) is expected to grow stronger, developing common data privacy standards, interoperable AI platforms, and open language models.

  2. Redefining Technological Dependencies: To reduce the dominance of American and Chinese platforms, more and more countries are seeking European and Southeast Asian alternatives. The construction of Latin American data centers and open-source AI infrastructures between 2030 and 2040 will play a key role in digital self-determination.

  3. Localization of Ethical AI Frameworks: New, region-specific AI ethical frameworks are being developed to align with the cultural and social characteristics of the continent. These will emphasize community utility, social equality, and inclusive development.

Based on these trends, by 2050, South America could become one of the most interesting regional alternatives in the global AI market—not due to volume, but through its value-based approach.

Labor Market Effects –
Redefining Human Capital


Artificial intelligence is fundamentally transforming the labor market in South America as well. Through automation and algorithmic processes, lower-skilled positions are gradually disappearing or transforming. However, this presents not just a threat but also an opportunity.

  1. Reskilling and Upskilling Strategies: Reskilling workers to acquire AI-compatible skills, such as data interpretation, machine learning management, digital ethics, and AI-assisted decision-making, will become a top priority for governments and multinational companies.

  2. Integration of Education and Research: AI is increasingly present in educational systems, not just as a technological subject but also as an interdisciplinary tool. This can ensure long-term competitiveness in the region.

  3. Productivity and Knowledge Growth: AI-based automation in agriculture, logistics, and public administration could result in a 35–50% increase in productivity by 2035. This will contribute to GDP growth and the expansion of the formal economy.

The future of human resources in the region with AI will be based on the complementary role of technology, rather than its substitution.

Ethical, Legal, and Social Aspects –
Responsible AI Use


The introduction of artificial intelligence is not only a technological but also a deeply ethical and social issue. In Latin America, significant challenges remain regarding data management, transparency, and algorithmic decision-making.

  1. Data Privacy and Sovereignty: Many countries have incomplete or fragmented data privacy regulations. Brazil's General Data Protection Law (LGPD) is a positive example, but most countries still lack AI-specific regulations. The flow of personal data abroad creates technological dependency.

  2. Transparency and Accountability: The "black box" nature of AI systems is a serious obstacle to legal and social control. The application of transparent algorithms is becoming increasingly urgent, especially in public services (e.g., courts, healthcare, police).

  3. Bias-Free and Non-Discriminatory AI: Imported AI models often fail to consider local contexts, which could perpetuate structural disadvantages. It is crucial that data samples are based on local social and cultural representations rather than global biases.

  4. Creation of Ethical AI Frameworks: Some countries, such as Chile or Uruguay, have already developed their own AI ethical recommendations, often focusing on social justice, inclusivity, and environmental sustainability, as opposed to merely competitiveness.

  5. Global Compliance and Adaptation: The EU AI Act, OECD AI recommendations, and UNESCO principles are gradually being integrated into the legislative processes of more South American countries. This creates an opportunity to establish a responsible and competitive AI environment.

To ensure the social stability and democratic functioning of the continent, it is crucial that technological development does not deepen inequalities but rather serves to reduce them.

Business Value and Return on Investment –
Profit, Cost, Efficiency


The corporate application of artificial intelligence in South America is gradually moving beyond pilot projects and becoming an integral part of operations across various industries. For companies and government agencies, the increasingly urgent question is: what is the ROI (return on investment) of AI integration, and how can it be measured accurately?

  1. Sectoral Breakdown:

    • Financial Sector: In Brazil, Argentina, and Chile, AI already plays a role in credit scoring, risk analysis, and customer relationship automation. The return on these systems ranges from 18 to 36 months, with significant improvements in customer retention and operational cost reduction.

    • Manufacturing: In Colombia and Peru, AI-based predictive maintenance and logistics optimization have resulted in 15–20% production efficiency increases.

    • Logistics: Autonomous delivery trials have begun in Paraguay and Uruguay, rationalizing traditional supply chains.

    • Public Administration: AI-based data processing (e.g., detecting public procurement fraud) has reduced corruption risks by 10–15% in three countries (Chile, Brazil, Uruguay).

  2. Cost Structure and ROI: Initial investment in AI solutions is high, especially in countries with limited local developer capacity. However, operational costs are expected to decrease in the medium term due to scalability and predictive capabilities. For example, an AI-based customer service system can reduce the workload of human operators by 60–70% annually.

  3. Technological Independence and Localized Benefits: Technological independence, meaning the development of AI systems suited to local linguistic and cultural contexts, is of paramount importance for the region’s countries. The use of localized language models (e.g., Spanish and Portuguese LLMs) not only enhances efficiency but also reduces external data dependency.

  4. Development Barriers and Strategies: Some countries still struggle with a lack of technological embedding. Insufficient infrastructure, expert talent, and an innovation culture reduce the ROI potential. However, governments that launch targeted AI strategies and startup incubation programs have already gained a competitive edge.

In conclusion, the ROI of AI in the region differs by sector and country, but a common denominator is that long-term competitiveness is becoming one of the key factors. Those who miss out will fall behind.

Forecasts and Scenarios:
2050 and 2100


The future AI-based geopolitical landscape is forming today, and South America’s strategic responses will define the continent’s long-term position. Two critical time horizons frame the analysis: 2050, when AI is fully integrated into economies, and 2100, when the digital world order may take on post-national structures.

2050 – The Decade of Autonomous Infrastructure and Digital Alliances


By 2050, the second great wave of artificial intelligence will likely occur: the full industrial-state integration and the era of decentralized AI networks. The following scenarios appear plausible in South America:

  1. Digital Specialization Zones:

    • Southern Brazil (São Paulo, Rio Grande do Sul) will become self-sustaining innovation clusters offering exportable AI products and data processing services.

    • Colombia and Chile could become centers for cybersecurity and fintech-AI applications, in partnership with the U.S. and Europe.

  2. Technological Alliances: South American countries are likely to form strategic AI alliances, such as "AI Mercosur" or the "Pan-Amazon AI Coalition," with a focus on joint data policies, ethical standards, and hardware development.

  3. Automated Public Services: AI-driven digital governance will reach full coverage, including smart cities, autonomous transportation, and real-time public policy impact analysis. Uruguay, Ecuador, and Argentina could take leadership in this area.

2100 – Post-National Models and Digital Super-Entities


At the beginning of the 22nd century, AI will no longer be just a tool but the foundation for autonomous political and social structures.

  1. AI-Based Governance: Some countries in the region will adopt hybrid governmental models where AI-based decision support systems will take over parts of public policy planning. The goal will not be full automation but bias-free, predictive, and data-driven governance.

  2. Transnational Digital Citizenship: AI-based digital entities may transcend nation-states, with Venezuelan startups becoming citizens of a "digital alliance" just as much as Chilean developers—joining AI networks, data economies, and ethical frameworks.

  3. New Global AI Normative Order: The UN or new digital world organizations could coordinate the ethical development of AI, control of autonomous systems, and legitimacy of machine decision-making. If positioned correctly, South America could become a shaping force in this new system.

From a Leadership Perspective:
The next 75 years are not about technological determinism but strategic choices. The question is not whether the AI era will come, but who will shape it, based on which values, and with what geopolitical consequences.

Leadership Guide –
5-Step Action Plan


For governmental decision-makers, multinational companies, and strategic consultants working in South America, the future of artificial intelligence demands immediate action, not waiting. The following 5 steps offer a framework to ensure the region’s sustainable, ethical, and profitable AI transition.

0–3 months:

  • Conduct a comprehensive internal and external environment analysis: AI ecosystems, regulatory frameworks, technological alliances, and data infrastructure.

  • Identify strategic dependencies (USA, China, EU tech giants).

  • Assess human resource readiness and national AI development status.

3–6 months:

  • Define the AI vision for 2030 and 2050.

  • Choose technological partners (open-source, sovereign platforms, regional alliances).

  • Develop ethical guidelines and compliance principles (compliance-by-design).

6–12 months:

  • Build AI-specific infrastructure and projects.

  • Start pilot projects in various sectors: transportation, healthcare, agriculture, finance.

  • Invest in edge computing and machine learning capacity.

Ongoing:

  • Develop an ethical AI culture and normative framework.

  • Establish transparent, socially accepted AI communication strategies.

  • Integrate ethical control mechanisms: auditability, explainability, bias reduction.

  • Participate in international standard-setting (ISO, IEEE, OECD AI Ethics forums).

12+ months:

  • Position your organization or country at the forefront of global AI initiatives.

  • Lead alliances, trade, or research coalitions (e.g., Latin AI Innovation Hub).

  • Invest in exportable AI competencies (service-based AI, data analysis, AI experts).

This 5-step plan is not just a technological roadmap but the key to digital sovereignty and strategic self-determination. It is the responsibility of leaders to pursue this path consistently, with a partner-oriented and ethical mindset.

Closing –
Strategic Value Proposition and Call for Collaboration


Artificial intelligence is not just the dawn of a new technological era, but also opens a new dimension of geopolitical and economic influence. South American countries stand at a crossroads: remain passive consumers in the global technological race, or actively shape their future with conscious, sovereign, and competitive AI strategies. Digital sovereignty, responsible AI development, and adherence to ethical standards are not only national security issues but also economic advantages and opportunities for international positioning.

For strategic decision-makers, investors, and consultants, now is the time to take action. The complexity of AI-driven transformation requires interdisciplinary collaboration: action must be taken at the intersection of data policy, technology, education, financial modeling, and international diplomacy.

If you or your organization:

  • Is considering strategic AI development in Latin America,

  • Needs well-founded geopolitical and technological analysis,

  • Or seeks to position yourself through leadership content in the future AI ecosystems,

Please get in touch with us.

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